Saturday, 2 May 2026

A note of concept-decomposing on housing regime: for Housing Studies students

A note of concept-decomposing on housing regime: for Housing Studies students


Highlight 6 main ideas on Jim Kemeny's concept of the housing regime and describe 2 main claims of it in terms of Toulmin's model of arguments

Jim Kemeny's housing regime concept analyzes housing systems through their rental market structures and links to broader welfare and power dynamics. It contrasts dualist and unitary models to explain divergent housing policies across nations.

Main Ideas

·                  Housing regimes form the social, political, and economic systems governing housing supply, distribution, and consumption in a specific period and place.

·                  Key distinction lies in rental markets: dualist regimes separate profit-driven private renting (unregulated) from subsidized non-profit renting (heavily regulated), marginalizing the latter.

·                  Unitary regimes integrate profit and non-profit renting under shared regulations, allowing competition that makes renting viable across income levels.

·                  Regimes emerge from power balances in corporatist systems—employer-union-government negotiations—shaping policy paths toward homeownership dominance or rental strength.

·                  Housing embeds deeply in welfare regimes as a "fourth pillar," where non-decisions favoring ownership reinforce privatist cultures, while strong renting supports decommodification.

·                  Divergence, not convergence, characterizes regimes; they are strategic social constructions influenced by historical trajectories like subsidy maturation in non-profit sectors.

Toulmin Claims

Claim 1: Dualist Regimes Promote Homeownership Dominance

·                  Claim: Societies with dualist rental markets foster homeownership over competitive renting.

·                  Grounds: Profit renting remains unregulated while non-profit is residualized as "poorhouse" housing for the marginalized.

·                  Warrant: This separation stems from liberal policies prioritizing markets, insulating sectors and weakening rental alternatives.

Claim 2: Corporatism Drives Unitary Regimes

·                  Claim: Corporatist power balances produce unitary rental markets competitive with ownership.

·                  Grounds: Non-profit sectors influence, lead, or dominate under shared rules, retaining middle-class tenants (e.g., Germany, Sweden).

·                  Warrant: Tripartite negotiations enable subsidy retention and market integration, countering ownership bias.

 

Try to illustrate the 6 ideas with reference to the Housing Studies research theme of "An analysis of the housing regime of Hong Kong, notably on the governance of its housing supply over the past 20 years".

Hong Kong's housing regime over the past 20 years (2006–2026) exemplifies a dualist structure dominated by private market forces and public rental residualization, amid chronic supply shortages and governance challenges like land auctions and developer influence. This aligns with Kemeny's framework, promoting homeownership aspirations while marginalizing rental options.

Idea 1: Housing Regimes as Systems

Hong Kong's regime integrates governance via land sales auctions (generating major revenue), public rental housing (PRH) for ~30% of population, and private developer-led supply. Over 20 years, policies like Long Term Housing Strategy (LTHS, 2014) targeted 440,000 units (2025/26–2034/35) with 70:30 public-private split, but chronic shortfalls persist due to land scarcity.

Idea 2: Dualist Rental Markets

Private profit renting thrives unregulated, while PRH is heavily subsidized/residualized for low-income (waiting time ~5.3–6 years, 116,400 applicants). Subdivided units (SDUs, ~100,900 units housing 226,300 people) serve as unregulated "poorhouse" for overflow, with recent tenancy controls (2022) and Basic Housing Units regime (2026) attempting regulation without integration.

Idea 3: Unitary Rental Markets

No unitary model in Hong Kong; PRH/non-profit remains segregated from private market, lacking shared regulations for competition. Private sector dominates (~1.66M units), with small "nano-flats" rising (3.6% of 2017–2021 completions), blocking middle-class rental viability.

Idea 4: Power Balances in Corporatism

Absent tripartite corporatism; governance relies on bureaucratic decisions and developer lobbying ("land monopoly") rather than employer-union negotiations. Policies like Home Ownership Scheme (HOS) suspensions (e.g., 2003–2014) and LTHS reflect state-private alliances favoring ownership subsidies over rental strength.

Idea 5: Embedding in Welfare Regimes

Housing as "fourth pillar" is privatized; high home purchase affordability index (74% in 2021) and falling ownership (48.6% in 2021 from 52.1% in 2011) show ownership bias, with PRH as welfare safety net amid inequality. Supply volatility (e.g., 173,900 completions 2017–2021 but PRH decline) reinforces commodification.

Idea 6: Divergence and Historical Trajectories

Regime diverges toward liberal dualism, not converging to unitary; post-2003 HOS halt and 70:30 split prioritized private supply, entrenching developer dominance despite efforts like Northern Metropolis. 20-year governance shows "non-decisions" like land auction reliance perpetuating shortages.

 

References

Kemeny, J. (2006) 'Corporatism and housing regimes', Housing, Theory and Society, 23(1), pp. 1–16. doi:10.1080/14036090500476543.

Forrest, R. and Murie, A. (1990) Selling the welfare state: The privatisation of council housing, London: Routledge.

Note: These are core theoretical works; for Hong Kong-specific, see Chan, E.Y.Y. and Chan, J.K.L. (2004) 'From intervention to privatization: The changing public housing policy in Hong Kong', International Journal of Construction Management, 4(1), pp. 57–73.

 

** theory-decomposing is a literature review technique.



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